Hagley says hello. Again …

South Africa’s bowlers can be trusted to bounce back, but where their runs might come from is anyone’s guess.

Telford Vice | Cape Town

NEW Zealand will need no prompting to try and repeat the feat they completed at Hagley Oval on Saturday. South Africa won’t be short of motivation to avoid that fate when the teams meet again at the same venue on Friday. Throw in the likely nuclear conditions and it’s difficult to see how the second Test won’t live up to the emphatic events of the first game of the series.

In a mismatch that lasted just seven sessions, New Zealand won by an innings and 276 runs. So anything except victory for the visitors this time will give the Kiwis their first series win over South Africa — the only side, of those they have played against, they have never beaten in a rubber. Not that the home side will be satisfied with a draw: another win and they will become the No. 1 ranked team in the world for the third time since January 2021.

Last week, the absence of Ross Taylor, Kane Williamson and Trent Boult from New Zealand’s XI — the first time they had been without all three of those stellar stalwarts since January 2008, or 117 Tests previously — was seen as a significant disadvantage against opponents who, in December, had rallied from 0-1 down to beat then top-ranked team India. The Kiwis’ trio of titans will be missing again this week, but that is now all but irrelevant.

Matt Henry’s 7/23 in the first innings and 9/55 in the match — both career bests for him — and Henry Nicholls’ 105, Tom Blundell’s 96 and Henry’s 58 not out more than made up for the loss of the biggest names of this generation of New Zealand’s players. South Africa’s response to the challenge was woeful in all departments. They were dismissed for 95 and 111, three of their five bowlers conceded more than 100 runs each with none claiming more than three wickets, and they dropped seven catches.

It’s conceivable that South Africa’s bowlers had an off day or two, and can be trusted to bounce back. But where their runs might come from in a line-up that crashed to 4/3 inside five overs in the second innings is anyone’s guess. Beyond picking the uncapped Ryan Rickelton at the expense of Aiden Markram, there isn’t much the South Africans can do to inject new blood into their batting order.  

How the visitors will find their way back from so far deep in the woods is thus difficult to fathom. They tend to talk a tough game about fighting back, but only once before in their previous 37 two-Test series have they managed to level a rubber after losing the first match. And they’re up against a New Zealand team who have lost only one of the 10 Tests they have played at Hagley Oval, where they’ve won the last three by an innings.

Normally there wouldn’t be this much looking back when we’re trying to understand what might happen in an imminent match. But that’s unavoidable in the aftermath of a game that was utterly and entirely one-sided, and especially as the teams will return to the scene of that non-contest.

In essence, it’s up to South Africa to perform exponentially better in every aspect mere days after they have suffered the second-heaviest defeat in their history. And it’s up to New Zealand to keep doing what they have been doing for too long for last week’s triumph to be considered a fluke.

If it seems the Kiwis’ task in that equation is eminently more achievable than the visitors’, that’s because it is. It’s never a good idea to write South Africa off, and that’s not what this is about. But even their least critically thinking supporters will concede that a series win for New Zealand is far more realistic than the South Africans levelling matters. A draw? In the still churning wake of last week, even that will take some doing.

When: Friday, 11am Local Time

Where: Hagley Oval, Christchurch 

What to expect: More sunshine this week, and throughout the match, according to the forecast, should translate into more benign batting conditions. But the seamers will still have more help than at many other grounds. 

Team news

New Zealand: Who would have thought Trent Boult’s continued unavailability — fatherhood for the first Test, this time because he hasn’t been bowling enough — could be cast as a good thing. But it is because it means Matt Henry, who matched Richard Hadlee’s 7/23 as the best performance by a New Zealander at home last week, is sure of keeping his place in an XI that will surely be unchanged.

Possible XI: Tom Latham (capt), Will Young, Devon Conway, Henry Nicholls, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Blundell, Colin de Grandhomme, Kyle Jamieson, Tim Southee, Neil Wagner, Matt Henry 

South Africa: Aiden Markram, who hasn’t reached 50 in his last 10 innings, in which he averages 9.70, should be dropped. Ryan Rickelton, who has scored three centuries and a 90 in his five first-class innings this season, should make his debut. 

Possible XI: Dean Elgar (capt), Sarel Erwee, Rassie van der Dussen, Ryan Rickelton, Temba Bavuma, Zubayr Hamza, Kyle Verreynne, Marco Jansen, Kagiso Rabada, Glenton Stuurman, Duanne Olivier

What they said:

“We always talk about how do we take 20 wickets, and whether some guy takes 15 of them it does not really matter a huge amount. It is about us trying to take 20 wickets and trying to find the best way of doing that.” – Kyle Jamieson, who took match figures of 3/43 in the first Test, no doubt hopes for more success this time regardless of that philosophy.

“We know our back is against the wall, and the only way we can get through that is to fight and throw that first punch. As South Africans, that’s what we thrive on. We are going to have to do that. It’s not ideal that we started slow but I think you will see a different energy in this Test.” – fighting talk from Sarel Erwee.

First published by Cricbuzz.

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35 days is a long time when you’re not having fun

“The plans, I think, are right. We just haven’t been able to implement those plans and the energies have been low.” – Mark Boucher

Telford Vice | Cape Town

THIRTY-FIVE days ago, nothing could go wrong for South Africa. They had rallied to beat what was then the No. 1 ranked team in an enthralling Test series that stirred passions and shook up the game. Thirty-five days later, nothing is going right. Can’t bat, can’t bowl, can’t field. And can’t say why that is.

South Africa’s 2-1 win over India, clinched at Newlands in January, was as unexpected as it was heralded as a turning point for a team hit by retirements, malevolently incompetent administrators, a struggling wider economy in a society drifting towards failure, and not only Covid-19 but the inequities that come with being from the developing world during a pandemic.

Everything was stacked against them. But they found a way to win, despite Quinton de Kock quitting the format after the first match.

New Zealand had beaten the Indians in the inaugural World Test Championship final in June, but did they stand a chance against Dean Elgar’s side — a team whose time seemed to have come?

Thirty-five days after that question was being asked, albeit not entirely seriously, it’s as if the India series never happened. In two days at Hagley Oval, Saturday with seven wickets in hand to score the 353 they need to stave off an innings defeat. Rain is forecast for Christchurch this afternoon, but it will have to pour unrelentingly until Monday afternoon if the South Africans are to be sure of staving off defeat.

Had everything that was achieved against India been undone? “I don’t think so,” Mark Boucher told an online press conference on Friday. “A lot of people judged us after one or two days of the start of the Indian series, and we pulled it back nicely.

“We haven’t started well here at all. It’s not the first time it’s happened; it’s been happening for quite some time now. As coaches we’re trying to find out the reasons for that. We do a lot of talking before a series, a lot of planning. The plans, I think, are right. We just haven’t been able to implement those plans and the energies have been low. We can’t put our finger on it at the moment, but we’ll go back to our drawingboards and try and find a way to become better at the start of the series.

“The series against India was a long series where we played a good brand of cricket. A lot of good was shown. To wipe that whole series out with two really poor days in conditions that these guys haven’t played in before wouldn’t be that fair. But I can see why people are saying things like that. Because, no excuses, we just haven’t been good enough in all three departments in these last two days.”

Boucher is correct in that South Africa’s bowlers were ineffectual in allowing India to score 272/3 in Centurion on the first day of that series. But is it true that the South Africans are slow starters? The accusation is levelled at them serially, or whenever they struggle early in a rubber.

South Africa have won more first Tests — 39.85% of them — than they have been successful in third, fourth and fifth Tests. They have also lost fewer first Tests — 31.58% — than the second, third or fifth matches of a series. That they are better at winning the second Test than any other game in the rubber — a success rate of 42.11% — is a glimmer of hope for the match at Hagley Oval that will start next Friday.

Restrict the numbers to away series, and South Africa win 29.90% and lose 31.96% of their first Tests. That’s as good as it gets: both stats go downhill from there.

Those are all-time figures. In the past five years, South Africa have won the first Test six times, lost it seven times, and drawn once. All but one of the losses have followed a convincingly lacklustre first day. The exception was in Karachi in February, when the South Africans bounced back from being dismissed for 220 by reducing Pakistan to 33/4 at stumps on the opening day — only for the home side to score 378 on their way to a seven-wicket victory.

The outlier on the other side of the equation was in Centurion in December 2020, when Sri Lanka made 340/6 on day one and were bowled out for 396. South Africa replied with 621, and dismissed the Lankans for 180 to win by an innings and 45 runs.

So, while it isn’t clear that South Africa have a problem winning the first Test of a rubber, there is evidence that they tend to lose after falling behind in the initial stages of that match.

That’s hardly surprising considering the challenge of playing catch-up cricket at this level, particularly if the conditions don’t help. The way the ball has been hooping this way and that out of the bowler’s hand and off the pitch at Hagley Oval these past two days, South Africa’s batters haven’t had things their way.

But their bowlers have failed to take advantage of the same scenario. Even Matt Henry hit them to all parts for his unbeaten 58, not least with Tom Blundell in a last-wicket stand of 94. That made Henry the first No. 11 in Test history to score a half-century and take seven wickets — he claimed 7/23 on Thursday — in the same innings.

So Boucher could hardly blame the pitch. Instead, he praised it: “The wickets here are pretty good. They look green but they play true and the bounce is good. Our wickets are tough to bat on. I’d prefer to bat in New Zealand conditions.”

Turf management also made it into the presser given by Henry Nicholls, whose 105 stabilised New Zealand after they had slipped to 36/2, although obliquely: “Sorry,” Nichols said, apologising for noise coming through the window. “We’ve got a lawnmower going out there.”

The South Africa batters who heard it no doubt hoped it was taking the grass on the pitch down a notch or two.

First published by Cricbuzz.

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Stokes wins closest ever World Cup final for England

Good luck to the keepers of cricket’s annals, who will struggle to smuggle this scoreline neatly into their records.

TMG Digital + Print

TELFORD VICE at Lord’s

BEN Stokes played a charmed innings to mastermind England’s triumph in the most closely fought final in men’s World Cup history.

England, who played in their fourth final, claimed the trophy for the first time by beating New Zealand, who had reached in the decider for the second consecutive time.

But it needed a super over to separate the sides after the match was tied — New Zealand totalled 241/8 and England were dismissed for 241.

Even that wasn’t enough to decide the issue: both teams scored 15 runs in the super over, so the equation was further distilled to which side had hit the most boundaries.

All told, super over and everything, New Zealand hit 14 fours and three sixes.

England? Twenty-four fours and two sixes.

Arise, World Cup champions. And good luck to the keepers of the annals, who will struggle to smuggle that scoreline neatly into their records.

New Zealand have batted first only three other times in their 11 games in the tournament, and twice in those matches they have made smaller totals than Sunday’s 241/8. They won one of those games and lost the other.

Their most dependable batters, Kane Williamson and Ross Taylor, who between them had scored both of the centuries and five of the 11 half-centuries the Kiwis have made during the World Cup going into the final, were dismissed for 30 and 15.

It was left to opener Henry Nicholls, playing only his third match of a tournament in which his 28 against India in the semi-final at Old Trafford, to provide stability with his 77-ball 55.

Williamson helped Nicholls add 74 for the second wicket, the only half-century stand of the innings, and No. 5 Tom Latham’s 47 was New Zealand’s next best effort.

Chris Woakes and Jofra Archer used the new ball effectively for England, and Woakes took 3/37.

Liam Plunkett claimed 3/42, taking all of his wickets with cross-seam deliveries.

Of England’s six bowlers, only Stokes, who went wicketless for 20 off three overs, conceded five or more runs a ball.

New Zealand defended a lower total as recently as Wednesday, when they made 239/8 in their semi-final against India at Old Trafford and won by 18 runs.

But they reduced the Indians to 5/3 in the first 19 balls of the innings — the like of which they couldn’t repeat on Sunday.

Instead Jonny Bairstow stood firm through stands of 28 with Jason Roy and 31 with Joe Root.

Roy was fortunate to survive, by the slimmest of “umpire’s call” margins, which was handed down after South Africa’s Marius Erasmus decided the Englishman was not out, when the New Zealanders reviewed Trent Boult’s shout for lbw off the first ball of the innings.

Then Colin de Grandhomme dropped a return catch Bairstow offered in the 11th, when he was 18 and England were 39/1.

Root gave De Grandhomme some solace six overs later when he flashed at a wide delivery and was caught behind.

Bairstow went for 36 three overs after that, dragging Lockie Ferguson onto his stumps.

And when Ferguson roared in from the cover boundary to catch, centimetres from the turf, Jimmy Neesham’s first ball of the match — which had been hammered there by Eoin Morgan — England were 86/4 and reduced to their last pair of proper batters.

But they were Stokes and Jos Buttler, and they clipped 110 runs off 133 balls in a largely controlled partnership that endured into the 45th over and took England to within 46 runs of victory.

It ended when Buttler hammered Ferguson to deep cover, where substitute Tim Southee held a fine sliding catch. Buttler’s 60 came off 60 balls and included six fours.

That started a slide of six wickets for 45 runs, but Stokes survived for an undefeated 84 off 98 balls with five fours and two sixes.

England were 220/7 with Stokes 63 not out and in the 49th over when he smashed Neesham to the midwicket boundary — where Boult fell over the boundary and turned a catch into a six.

England needed 15 off the 50th over, and Stokes lofted Boult for six over midwicket.

That narrowed the equation to nine off three — clearly in the Kiwis’ favour.

Stokes smacked Boult to midwicket along the ground, and Martin Guptill’s throw hit Stokes as he dived to make his ground.

From there, it scooted over the boundary to earn six runs off one delivery.

That meant England needed three runs off two balls, but only two were added as Adil Rashid and Mark Wood were run out in the process.

That tied the scores, prompting the super over.

Stokes and Buttler returned to club 15 runs off Boult, each of them hitting a four.

Neesham and Guptill came out to face Archer, and Neesham lifted a massive six over midwicket off the second ball.

Two were required off the last ball, but Guptill was run out by Roy’s throw to wicketkeeper Buttler scrambling back for the second.

That tied the scores again, but for only as long as it took to tally up the boundaries.