South Africans help pandemic persist

Where else was omicron cooked up if not in the ranks of the unmasked, undistanced, uncaring, uncivilised antivaxxers? 

Telford Vice | Cape Town

Deep in the doldrums of lockdown last year, when for five weeks South Africans were not allowed to leave their homes to exercise or walk their dogs, we would appear on our balconies and verandahs every evening to applaud healthcare workers.

It was a moment to exhale, to be relieved to have lived another day. But on one of those evenings a particularly cynical Cape Town resident screamed into the crackle of clapping what everyone felt in their souls: “We’re all going to die!”

The story was related around a table in a restaurant on Sunday, where we had gathered to celebrate a mutual friend’s birthday. It was met with hollow levity, like that of all those who dare to look in the eye the trauma they have survived. And who know more harm is in their midst: the uninvited, unwanted guest at the party was omicron.

South Africa recorded no new cases of any variant of Covid-19 on November 14 and 18, and for most of that month the numbers were in the low hundreds. But, on November 23, there were 18,586 new infections. Only once in the first five days of December was the count below 10,000. Twice it topped 16,000.

The positivity rate on Sunday, when we sat and laughed and drank and ate and tried to behave as if all was normal, was 23.8% — almost a quarter of those tested were confirmed to have contracted the disease. Early indications are that most of them will not need a hospital, but we know by now that that can change in a heartbeat. Especially when hearts stop beating. We’re not all going to die, but some of us might.

South Africa’s role in all this is complex. Our scientists told the world of the existence of the new variant, which led, swiftly, to the closing of other countries’ borders to us. And to those countries either prohibiting or making it difficult and expensive for their citizens to travel to our shores and return home. Much the same countries have bought exponentially more doses of vaccine than they need to inoculate their entire population. That has led to claims of geopolitical racism.

It also means the cancellation of South Africa’s summer tourist season for the second consecutive year. In 2018 the holiday industry earned nearly 3% of the country’s gross domestic product and employed around 4.5% of all those who had jobs. 

Not that South Africans are blameless in this saga. On Sunday we could see each others’ unmasked faces as we laughed and topped up our drinks. So far, so legal. But on the street outside, mask-wearing seemed to be optional and social distancing was something that we used to do. Both measures remain, officially, mandatory.

But in a society where authority has never been respected — how were we supposed to respect the racist laws that held sway for hundreds of years? — regulations are disregarded with impunity.

We have among the most progressive constitutions in the world, and among the most socially conservative populations. Apartheid was declared dead in 1994, but white supremacy continues to thrive in every significant sense. We have developed some of the most advanced virology in the world because we have been fighting HIV and Aids for decades, but we are beset by roaming mobs of protesting Covid vaccine refuseniks and conspiracy theorists who, shamefully, compare efforts to administer the life-saving jab as widely as possible to the holocaust and apartheid.

Sunday’s happy scene would have been impossible during the more stringent stages of last year’s lockdown, when restaurants and bars were shut. Once reopened they were initially not allowed to sell booze. Despite that, many did. The code was to ask for a glass of grape juice, specifying red or white. A glass of wine would arrive, accompanied by an empty can that once held the correspondingly coloured grape juice.

Not unrelated is that drunk driving is, of course, against the law, but also a deadly national sport: research by road safety and medical experts shows that alcohol can be blamed for 27.1% of traffic deaths. So, along with restaurants and bars, liquor stores were also shuttered for weeks last year. That prompted many to nurture relationships with their friendly neighbourhood bootlegger.

Adalbert Gordon-Ernst, an anaesthetist at Groote Schuur, a major Cape Town hospital made world famous by Christiaan Barnard performing the first successful heart transplant there in December 1967, explained why the booze ban was necessary: “Alcohol went away and there was a dramatic reduction in the amount of trauma cases that we saw. The alcohol ban was lifted, and then this huge wave of trauma hit us. It saturated our system, and we were working with fewer staff dealing with regular surgical emergencies because we were reaching peak numbers of Covid patients that had to be looked after.”

We can’t handle our drink. But we keep drinking too much regardless. And, because of our drunken misadventures, we end up cluttering trauma wards that could be put to better use. Enough of us also can’t handle the truth that the vaccines work, which allows the virus time and space to mutate. Where else was omicron cooked up if not in the ranks of the unmasked, undistanced, uncaring, uncivilised antivaxxers? 

If we were honest with ourselves on Sunday, we would have conceded that that’s what we were really afraid of; that the bastards would lock us down again. The National Coronavirus Command Council is meeting as we speak, and tougher restrictions are anticipated. How far can we be from a vaccine mandate?

Only one person succumbed of Covid-19 in South Africa on Sunday. They were 89,966th death claimed by the pandemic in South Africa. That’s one, nevermind 89,966, too many. There will, of course, be far too many more.

We know we’re all going to die of something. But we want to go out on our own terms. And we don’t want to die sober.

First published by News9 Live

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Omicron ominous for India tour

The tour remains possible, but it is becoming less than probable.

Telford Vice | Cape Town

DEAR India. Please come. It’s not just about the money, although that’s important. It’s also about history, fairness, and respect. And about establishing whether we’re part of the world or locked out and looking in. Like we were before November 1991, when you let us return from the cold. So please come. Please.

That’s not Cricbuzz talking. It’s South Africa’s government, and every cricketminded South African. A release by the Department of International Relations and Cooperation (DIRCO) on Tuesday was followed, on Wednesday, by a CSA statement on the issue, bringing to 952 the number of words spent in this cause. Doubtless there will be many more. They could all be summarised into one: desperation.

Wednesday’s CSA effort was headlined, in capital letters: “Proteas confident in CSA BSE [bio-secure environment] protocols”, and quoted the organisation’s chief medical officer, Shuaib Manjra, men’s captains Dean Elgar and Temba Bavuma and board chair Lawson Naidoo, who posted Tuesday’s DIRCO statement — “South Africa welcomes Indian cricket teams” — on his social media pages. The latter’s plural is a nod to the fact that India A are here, and that their series in Bloemfontein is continuing as planned. The implication is that what’s good for Priyank Panchal’s geese is, surely, good for Virat Kohli’s ganders.

At 10.47pm (SA time) on Tuesday night, DIRCO bolstered its release with a notice on its website that read, in part: “The South African government has noted with regret the announcement by several countries to impose temporary travel restrictions on our country. It should be noted that these were unilateral decisions taken without consulting South Africa, and therefore beyond our control. The South African government will continue to do all it can to ensure that these unwarranted travel bans are lifted.”

If you think you read seething between those lines, you’re not wrong. There is outrage in South Africa that it is being punished for alerting the world to the emergence of the Omicron variant of Covid-19. A variant, mind, that has since been found in several other countries, and in some cases to have been there before South Africa’s scientists raised the alarm. In this view, that Omicron wasn’t so much detected in South Africa as it was detected by South Africans is a subtle but vital distinction.

But CSA don’t have the luxury of anger. They know from the painful experience of England walking out of their tour last December and Australia’s refusal, in February, to fulfil their commitment to visit in March that venting their frustration doesn’t help. Neither is it of any use to reassure the BCCI that South Africa’s bubbles are as tight as any in the world, and tighter than many. India know, from their experience in England last year, that no bubble is unbreachable.  

What matters is the Indian government’s reaction to the rise in Covid cases in South Africa from the zero that was reported on November 18 — down from 22,910 new infections on July 8 — to 4,373 on Tuesday. The fourth wave is underway in the country.

Currently travel between India and South Africa is moderately encumbered. From Wednesday all travellers bound for India will be required to inform the Delhi government of their whereabouts for the previous 14 days and test negative for the virus within 72 hours of their departure. Since Friday those coming from “at risk” countries, which include South Africa, have been tested on arrival and — in the case of Indian nationals — required to quarantine in their homes for seven days.

Technically, then, India’s tour remains possible. But indications are it is becoming less than probable. That the BCCI want the number of Tests reduced from three to two has been reported, albeit without confirmation. Also that India would rather postpone the tour, and that the selection of their squad has been put on hold. You would have to be hopelessly optimistic if you didn’t read reluctance between those lines. And all that against the pressured backdrop of the BCCI’s annual meeting on Saturday, when issues weightier — to India, though not South Africa — will be discussed. Sourav Ganguly’s primary focus must be on that.

Yet it’s difficult not to empathise with South Africa’s situation. Thanks to years of maladministration, cricket in South Africa isn’t in a sound state monetarily. But the US$105-million CSA sold the India tour rights for dwarfs the loss of US$13.5-million they declared in October for the 2020/21 financial year. The international game’s grotesquely skewed economics means all countries depend on tours by India to some extent; South Africa more than most. For the tour even to be deferred would have a significant impact on cricket’s resources and affect the game adversely at all levels for years to come.

Thirty years ago, before apartheid had been defeated but with its downfall assured, India dared open its doors to South Africa’s regrettably all-white team. That venture of three ODIs encompassed a range of firsts: never before had South Africa played against India, never had they taken on opponents who were black or brown, and never had they played an ODI.

Now South Africa are asking India to dare put their faith in systems that have passed the test, and to respect their team enough to come and play cricket against them. It’s not that simple, of course. South Africa need, desperately, this tour to happen. India need, understandably, to make the best decision in the interests of their players’ safety and wellbeing. The choice is theirs.

First published by Cricbuzz.

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